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dc.contributor.authorFountas, Stilianosen
dc.date.accessioned2010-05-18T15:29:14Zen
dc.date.available2010-05-18T15:29:14Zen
dc.date.issued2004en
dc.identifier.citationFountas, S., (2004) "Current Account Deficit Sustainability: A Panel Approach" (Department of Economics, National University of Ireland, Galway.en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10379/1083en
dc.description.abstractIn this paper we attempt to examine the issue of sustainability of current account imbalances in eight East Asia countries using the latest developments in nonstationary panel data analysis. The methods of nonstationary time series panels provide a much more promising explanation than would an analysis based on pure time series or cross section data. The empirical results clearly indicate that the current account imbalances were not on the long-run steady state in the pre-crisis era (1970-1997). This leads to the conclusion that the current accounts of Asia-8 during this period were unstable and did not move towards external account equilibrium. However, strong comovements between exports and imports are found in the extended sample period that includes the post-crisis period (1970-2000). This result implies that large currency depreciations and the economic recovery have brought the Asia-8 economies back on a sustainable path. Thus, current account imbalances may be used as an indicator (or warning signal) in predicting future crises.en
dc.formatapplication/pdfen
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherNational University of Ireland, Galwayen
dc.relation.ispartofseriesWorking Paper;No. 0073en
dc.subjectCurrent account deficitsen
dc.subjectSustainabilityen
dc.subjectPanel cointegrationen
dc.subjectAsian economiesen
dc.subjectEconomicsen
dc.titleCurrent Account Deficit Sustainability: A Panel Approachen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.description.peer-reviewedpeer-revieweden
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