Abstract:
In this paper we adapt the CAPRI model to facilitate an analysis of CAP reform on
agriculture in Ireland's NUTS 3 regions. We make assumptions about how the Luxembourg
Agreement will be implemented in the Member States and contrast the effects of this policy
with that of the current policy Agenda 2000. The projection year is 2009. Comparisons are
also made with the FAPRI model for Ireland as a whole. We find that with the fulldecoupling
of premium payments in Ireland, regional agricultural income will be 3% higher,
on average, in 2009 than under the current policy. We also find that the directional
movements in incomes and activity levels tend to be the same as FAPRI¿s predictions, but
the outcomes using the CAPRI model tend to be a little less optimistic.
